The Best Way to Survive and Thrive During Inflation and Interest Rate Rises is to Live Like a Loser

I am a single man in his late thirties and I live with my parents. However, while many of my peers are fretting over the recent cost of living increases as well as increases in interest rates, I am not worried at all. I currently have a net worth of about A$1.5 million (about US$1.04 million) mostly in ETFs and crypto. I am also very frugal. I can live off about $10k to $20k per year easily.

When most people see that I live with my parents and don't own a house, they think I am a loser, but living like a loser provides more economic security because your expenses are low. If I lose my job, I can easily only spend about $20k per year, and given I have a net worth of $1.5 million, I can live off my investments forever as my withdrawal rate is 1.3% which is highly conservative.

I pay a small rent to my parents, but even if I did not live with my parents (e.g. they force me out of the house) then I can simply live in a sharehouse, and even if I didn't want to live in a sharehouse, I could easily live overseas e.g. in Southeast Asia or Eastern Europe where there is a low cost of living. Being minimalist as well as being flexible and mobile all help in increasing your resilience. 

Buying a house does not interest me. It's great to have a good house that is good quality and is fully paid off. This I think can provide economic security. My parents own a fully paid off house, and it provides them with economic stability as they don't need to pay rent, and given I live with them, I benefit from that as well. However, houses were very cheap many decades ago whereas now they are significantly more expensive. If you wanted a fully paid off house, the question is how long will it take to achieve this and what risks will you expose yourself to along the journey? Paradise is great but if the path to paradise is paved with landmines, is it worth trying to get to paradise?

For one, saving for a deposit can take a long time, and by the time you save up for a deposit and then pay off the entire mortgage, chances are you will be dead, so the security of a paid off house may never come or come way too late. In the meantime while you pay off the mortgage you are exposed to the massive risk of sudden interest rate spikes. 

So in my opinion, it is not worth the stress to buy a house. Simply invest in ETFs and crypto and then live a minimalist lifestyle. Economic security is about maximising your net worth and minimising your ongoing expenses. Once you can live off less than 4% of your net worth, this is when you start to become very financially secure.

More Immigration can Increase Housing Affordability

The housing affordability crisis is a global problem that is affecting many countries. The crisis is caused by a number of factors, including low interest rates, rising house prices, lack of supply, and investor demand. The crisis has a number of negative consequences, including homelessness, inequality, and economic growth. There are a number of things that can be done to address the crisis, including raising interest rates, building more housing, and providing more affordable housing.

However, there are many who believe that immigrants cause problems with housing affordability by increasing the demand for housing.

However, if there is an increase in demand for housing due to immigration or natural births, there can be no price impact if there is enough supply to keep up with demand. This involves increasing density as well as increasing urban growth boundaries. It is not hard to do this. Government just need to legislate it. Furthermore, there are many tax policies that can be amended to make housing more affordable. All that is needed is amendments to legislation. Amendments to legislation will occur if governments make the change. The government will make the change if they believe the people will support it and vote for it.

This is the main barrier to housing affordability. The reality is that many voters want house prices to increase, especially in countries where most people own homes e.g. Australia. A good case study is the Australian 2019 election when Bill Shorten lost due to policy suggestions to remove negative gearing, which is a tax break primarily exploited by property investors. Overall this would have a modest effect on house prices because housing affordability is caused by many other policies other than negative gearing. However, the results of this election show that it is not immigrants that are making housing less affordable. It is the Australian people. One third of Australians own their own home outright, one third own it with a mortgage, and one third are renters. Renters are outnumbered.

If immigration were increased, it is highly likely they will become renters. If they are then given citizenship then they will be able to vote. If we increased immigration such that a very large number become citizens who rent, this can push the number of renters to over 50% thereby giving renters a majority which allows policies that promote housing affordability to be progressed. However as migrants and young Australians transition from renters to owners, they will likely vote to make housing less affordability, and so immigration must be increased significantly in a short period of time in order to boost the numbers of the renter voting bloc. Once immigrants become Australian home owners then it is likely they will vote like Australian home owners, so there need to be a sudden and steep increase in immigration.

Stop Having Kids Billboard in El Paso, Texas

It is really positive seeing videos of the Stop Having Kids billboard in El Paso, Texas. Hopefully those who drive by will be reminded of antinatalism and the benefits of not having kids. This was something that I contributed to and I hope to contribute financially to more initiatives like this.

Financial Independence via a Childfree Lifestyle

Something I find unusual is that many people are horrified by the idea of achieving financial independence by not having kids, even though not having a child will save you hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars over your life.

Instead, when most people give financial advice, they focus on little expenses such as skipping Starbucks, Netflix, or avocado toast. Anyone who drinks lattes, plays video games, etc are usually accused of wasting money on these activities. However, if someone doesn't have kids, they are spending significantly more money, yet such activities are not deemed wasteful.

Work | Buy | Consume | Reproduce | Die

Lying Flatism vs FIRE vs Strikes - Which is More Effective?

There has long been conflict among business and workers. Throughout history there have been conflicts among the business class and the working class. 

One way that workers fight for their rights involves "labour strikes" or "strike action." Wikipedia defines "strike action" as follows: "Strike action, also called labor strike, labour strike, or simply strike, is a work stoppage, caused by the mass refusal of employees to work. A strike usually takes place in response to employee grievances. Strikes became common during the Industrial Revolution, when mass labor became important in factories and mines. In most countries, strike actions were quickly made illegal, as factory owners had far more power than workers. Most Western countries partially legalized striking in the late 19th or early 20th centuries."

Strikes have a major problem, which is somewhat addressed in the Wikipedia definition above, which is that many countries simply make striking illegal as businesses have a considerable amount of power. This is a problem in e.g. China.

Where striking is problematic, there are other options, one of which is the FIRE movement which emphasises hard work and frugal living initially with the aim of retiring early. Another is the "lying flat" movement, which doesn't focus on early retirement but focuses on doing the bare minimum. Both these movements seem to result in its adherents working less and consuming less, which deprives businesses of labour.

In China, the lying flat movement has been censored by the CCP who are desperately trying to suppress the movement. The elites do not seem to be as alarmed about the FIRE movement but there are many who think that it has the potential to harm the interests of the elites e.g. there was a recent post on Reddit about how FIRE can result in the end of Western civilization because people won't have enough children to become the workers of tomorrow.

One of the challenges of unionisation or protesting is knowing whether your fellow workers will support you in your endeavours. You may unionise or protest or go on strike, but you may be the only one who goes on strike while your fellow workers rush to suck up to the boss. Unionisation, striking, or protesting relies on self-sacrifice.

On the other hand, lying flat or FIRE focuses not on self-sacrifice but on personal benefits e.g. escaping the rat race. By lying flat, you live a stress free life while your colleagues slave themselves away. By retiring early via FIRE, you can retire in your 30s or 40s and relax by the beach while your colleagues slave away in the office or factory. When others see that lying flat or FIRE works, they may follow you, and once more and more people lie flat or FIRE, there will be labour shortages and businesses will then need to increase wages or offer better terms.

Tesla Should Introduce Battery Replacement Insurance to Counter FUD

One of the biggest fears many have about getting a Tesla or any EV is battery replacement. This has become mainstream knowledge now that a Tesla owner in Finland has blown up his Model S after being charged $22k for a replacement battery. Many people make the argument that EV batteries will die after 10 years because of battery failure whereas an ICE car, if maintained well, can last almost forever.

However, an argument can be made that the lower running costs of EVs will over time make up for the battery replacement costs. Nevertheless, people have a tendency to fear large and sudden bills. No one likes to open a letter only to receive a $20k+ bill.

What Tesla can do to address this is offer battery failure insurance. EV owners can pay a regular premium and, like all insurance, Tesla pools this money into a fund that invests in diversified stocks and bonds, and then as EV owners need to replacement their batteries, they bring it to Tesla who replaces the battery, and then Tesla takes money from the insurance fund to subsidise the costs of this battery replacement. A reasonable excess can be charged to ensure the EV owners try to get the most out of their battery before replacing it.

The main benefit of this battery replacement insurance is spreading the cost out and providing a clear counterargument against the FUD that battery failure will result in a $20k+ bill sent to you.